New blog opened recently where you can follow my picks. I'll post ONLY picks with good info/value an you are all welcome!

I had a good start and will try to do even better job than i did at this blog...

Cheers, Muuki

Pinnacle

After more than one year at Blogabet, 1000+ picks and over 500 units of profit i decided to close my blog.
First reason is lack of time as i have other obligations and honestly i wouldn't like to ruin my record ;)

Statistics :

Picks: 1058
Won: 665
Win rate: 63%
Stake avg.: 6.8
Staked: 7152.00
Returned: 7691.95
Net balance: +539.95
ROI*: 108%

Streak: +++++++

I believe that 108% yield doesn't sound bad in a long run and i truly hope you made some profit by following my picks.
At May only i made +54 units from 18 picks while i have overall +135 units at Croatian league section, +48 units at Scotland, +43 at Italy, +36 Uefa CUP, +33 at South American football, +32 at NBA and so on...
Soon i should start a new project (blog) containing ONLY picks with good reasons and explanation where i'll try to do even better.

Till than, wish you all the best and thanx for the support ;)
Feel free to leave some comments and prepositions here or you can contact me through e-mail : hajduksplit@yahoo.com

P.S. Don't forget to follow my CROATIAN LEAGUE picks on Bettingadvice where i have 109% yield and over 170 units profit at the moment!

GL

EDIT : Visit my new blog -> http://shambhala.blogabet.com

Waterpolo, Euroleague

Jug Dubrovnik- TEVA Vasas

First match * Vasas - Jug 11:10

Jug is the best team in Croatia and this result doesn't look bad as they are capable to beat anyone at Gruž pool. It won't be easy as we know that Vasas has a class but still against Jug and individuals like Bošković, Kržić, Smodlaka, Joković, Fatović, Bušlja they shouldn't stand a chance. Have in mind that Croatia is the world champion and some of Jug players played in that championship just few months ago. Also Vićan is back after illnes and he is currently one of the best goalies in the world which means safer defence for Jug. At Vasas they have some injury problems as one of their best players Adam Steinmetz is questionable as he isn't 100% fit.
I expect something like 13:9 here. GL
You can also take Jug -2.5 with medium stakes

P.S. Last pick to get a 7 winning picks streak ;)

Pinnacle

Dinamo - Hajduk

Odds on Dinamo to beat Hajduk were neres smaller but this looks like a good bet. I watched few of Dinamo's last games and it's clear that they are class above all other teams in Croatia including Hajduk.
Last weekend Dinamo demolished Zagreb by 4:0 without Ćorluka and Modrić and i see no reason why they wouldn't beat Hajduk here. If they win here it'll be thier 20th consecutive win in a row while Hajduk will continue with bad games in last few weeks.

Indeed, Hajduk played only 2:2 vs. Rijeka at home and even their player Carević said that they don't want to spoil Dinamo's celebration. Full stadium despite this game won't decide about anything (Dinamo 1st and Hajduk stays 2nd). Still Dinamo players are all eager to win here and if Hajduk will play like they did in last 2 games at Maksimir stadium than winner is not questionable here. No way Hajduk defence will stop Eduardo scoring his 32nd goal this season...

Pick: H, Odds: 1.60, Stake: 8, Bookmaker: Unibet

Rijeka -1.5 - Kamen Ingrad

Too bad limits are low at Pinnacle as this looks like a real value. Bet-at-home has this bet in offer but with odds 1.50 which makes this offer tempting for high stakes. Home win is a banker and you can take it at Unibet (1.27) and here are some reasons why :

* Kamen is relegated in 2nd league and got terrible away record (1-2-13 13:39) conceding almost 3 goals average per match.
* They lost to Cibalia at home 1:3 while Rijeka snatched a point vs. Hajduk away (2:2)
* Head o head Rijeka won in 5 out of their last 6 games
* Kamen coach announced he'll use youngsters for this match like goalie Sušac (youngster from my town playing for the first time), Zlomislić. Marčinković and some other juniors.
* Rijeka supporters (Armada) are celebrating their birthday and everything but a clear victory would be a huge surprise. I expect something like 3:0 here, GL.

Pick: H, Odds: 1.93, Stake: 8, Bookmaker: Pinnacle

Pinnacle

Pick : Austria
Odds : 1.65
Bookie : Nordicbet

Other bookies pay from 1.40 to 1.55 for this bet so i consider this as a a value.
Only one side has a motivation to win 3 points here and that is Austria Vienna (A). They are on on 9th place just 2 points in front of Kapfenberg and have 5-5-5 23:24 home record. On the other hand Hartberg is last placed and has a terrible away record (1-3-11 8:34) meaning they score less than one goal average in away matches and conceding more than 2. They won in only 1 from last 6 games and playing for nothing here. Head to head guests are better :

Hartberg TSV - Austria Memphis Vienna B 3:1 Fri 27-10-2006
Austria Memphis Vienna B - Hartberg TSV 0:1 Fri 11-08-2006

So i expect an open game where Austria will try to secure their league status and pay-back for two losses from Hartberg.

Montpellier HSC – Le Havre AC

Pick : Montpellier
Odds : 2.10
Bookie : Betsafe

Still some value left as other bookies slashed odds on home win to 1.90 or so (even 1.75 at Interwetten!).
Last chance for Montpellier survival here as they are 4 points away from 17th Brest and everything but a 3 points here would leave them only theoretical chances for salvation. Clear motive for home side here.
On the other hand Le Havre is 6th placed 10 points away from posssible promotion. They have nothing to play for and we may see them not playing 100% in this one. Also with 4 away win this season they don't look convincing before this match and they even lost last 3 away matches and heat to heat at Montpellier home side looks better :

Jul 29, 05 Ligue 2 Montpellier Montpellier 2 - 1 Le Havre
Oct 22, 04 Ligue 2 Montpellier Montpellier 3 - 0 Le Havre

And at their last 10 matches Le Havre NEVER won away to Montpellier.
Mostly motivation and statistic based pick but doesn't look bad at all and i hope new coach Courbis will make a positive result today for home side...

Pinnacle

Notice that odds on home win are dropping everywhere and everything above 1.55 is a value if you ask me.
Sirius had a great start (won 3 out of 4 games) while Sylvia is without victory in first 4 matches.
But that's not all - Selimovic and Estrom are suspended for Sylvia and have big problems as 9 players are injured and we could see some youngsters and unexpirienced players in this one. ON the other hand Sirius will have Gallo, a good midfielder back for this match. They have some missings too but Sylvia is in worse situation. Home ground advantarge and better form should be enough for Sirius.

Football, Turkey - Superliga

Bursaspor - Besiktas

Pick : Bursa +0.5
Odds : 1.79
Bookie : Pinnacle, Betfair, Canbet

*Burak Yılmaz and İbrahim Toraman are suspended while Delgado and Mustafa Dogan are injured for Besiktas in this one.
*Bursa is not safe yet and fights against relegation. Good home record makes me confident about this bet (6-6-3 14:13)
*Besiktas has a 5-6-4 away record but lately they are not playing good. They lost to Fenerbahce (0:1) at home and played a hard mid-week cup game.
*Also Bursa is motivated to win here as they have bad relations with Besiktas and with the help of their supporters i believe they will stay unbeaten here.
* So home ground advantarge, missings for Besiktas and hard schedule should be enough to win this bet. GL

Pinnacle

Please read other preview

Zagreb - Dinamo

Zagreb coach Ćiro said he'll set up an offensive formation and will go for a win here.
I'll be watching this game live at stadium in Kranjčevićeva on saturday and it's hard to predict what will happen here. Dinamo is a better team no doubt but at this city derby i wouldn't be sure they'll win. They played a hard game vs. Slaven in CUP two days ago and we may see coach Ivanković resting some players for rematch as Dinamo won "only" 1:0. If Dinamo will play without Modrić and Ćorluka than these odds are not value if you ask me. Indeed, Zagreb has injury problems as Nadarević, Lajtman, and Bjelobradić won't play in this one while attacker Jurendić is out due to yellow cards. Still they have individuals like goalie Stojkić, Lovrek and Mandžukić that can decide this game. Also, good news is that Ibričić is finally back after a long time injury. He played vs. Rijeka last 20 minutes or so, and despite Zagreb lost last 2 games they are not in crisis and look very good. When you have 11-2-3 home record than even Dinamo can't count on 3 easy points.

Pinnacle